Can a coach misread potentials?

General discussions about the 1st version of Tennis Elbow Manager

Can a coach misread potentials?

Postby Curtis » 30 Apr 2008, 04:00

I am playing my fifth demo game now, on the next-to-hardest level of difficulty. One of my players, Pascale Etchemendy, is giving me trouble.

My coach has three levels in potential evaluation (95%). My best guess is that Pascale has technical potentials in the 80-85% range, but she is not acting that way. I had noticed that her skills were increasing very slowly (or not at all) through sparring, so I shut her down for awhile and just ran her repeatedly through training camp. Training her technical skills for 20 hours a week, she was barely able to get her three best skills (Forehand Precision, Service Precision, Return; she is a power baseliner) up to the 61.0-61.2 range, and as soon as I stopped training those they dropped like rocks. At 14 hours a week (4 each for Rally, Service and Special, and 2 hours for Volley) she actually lost ground from week to week, until she ended up just above 57.0%.

To me this seems like a bug. She is acting as though her potentials were around 57-58 instead of 80-85. Is it possible for a coach to misread a player's potential? If so, that would be a good game feature (in real life players are often believed to have more potential than they actually do); if not, then I think it must be a bug.

As long as I am asking questions, here is another: Are some players programmed to have 'bad luck'?

I have two players (Pascale and Sybile Niox-Chateau) who lose in the first round maybe 40% of the time when they are the top singles seed in a tournament. When not the top seed they reliably make it to the quarterfinals. The other two do not have this problem, but one girl from my earlier games (Parmentier) did through three games at three different levels of difficulty.

I have noticed that in the tournaments in which my players appear (almost all at the Challenger level) top seeds in singles — even when they are computer players — seem to lose in the first round more frequently than lower seeded players. I have not analyzed this, just observed it, so it may be that my observation is faulty.
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Postby manutoo » 30 Apr 2008, 16:43

Potentials:
humm, how old is she ?
Do you have a rally specialized trainer to boost the training efficiency ?


Bad luck:
it could be coz of low cold blood... or just random bad luck... ;)
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Postby Curtis » 30 Apr 2008, 20:48

She is 16. I don't have good trainers for anything, since money has been a serious problem on this level of difficulty. I just finished the second year's Australian Open, and for the first time all of my players are out of debt. First round exits in singles can do that to you, no matter how many doubles titles you win, but going out in the first round of a Grand Slam event will earn more money than winning a $50,000 Challenger.

There hasn't been a problem with her mental or physical skills, just technical. And now it seems that it isn't all of her technical skills. She has spent much more time training at the center, and now her Power values are higher than her Precisions. The Power numbers don't seem to drop between weeks, though presumably they will if they near 80. Her Precisions are continuing to reduce, and they are now near 54%.

This brings up another question: Is it possible to change a player's style? If her other skills continue to rise, but her Precisions/Consistencies do not, could I change Pascale to a Puncher or Varied style?

The first round losses are probably bad luck, since Pascale has a Cold Blood rating near 85% (actual, not potential) and Cybile around 75%.
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Postby manutoo » 04 May 2008, 11:34

No, it's not possible to change a player style, it's something that in real life (almost) never happen. The way a player plays is really deeply associated to his inner character, and it's not something that can be changed easily... You can still change it as a Match Tactic, but you'll always have the little malus...

About the trouble with potentials, it could be caused from the bug you reported in the other topic, but it's not 100% sure, so if you notice it again, thanks to let me know...
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