by Blacky » 12 Sep 2008, 17:13
I'm going to explain why I think elena was lucky in this match
Ok...i hate to lose...thats no secret...but when I lose on this way thats even more terrible
after we broke each other once in first set...tiebreak came...
so let's see why I think that Dementieva was lucky
I broke him at 1-0, at 2-0, he tried to guess side (50-50), he guessed it right, and then I tried to guess where is he going to shot...i didn't guessed it
thats two times of 50-50 chances for him
at 2-2, he made stupid mistake for 3-2 for me, I soon won a point for 4-2...now what happened
He tried to guess right side, he failed...but my serve gone out...then at my second serve he tried to guess right side again (50-50 x3), and i didn't guessed right where is he going to make a shot (50-50 x4)
at 4-4...he made lob on lob...but he made lob from one corner of the court with fire1+2 to the opposite corner of the court (thats almost always out)...but ball was barley touching the line
then I won my two serves, he won his two serves...and then at 7-6 and my serve...he tried to guess right side again, he did (50-50 x5), and I had to try to guess where is he going to make a shot...but I didn't (50-50 x6)
So why am I thinking that he was lucky in tiebreak...
1. He guessed right side 3 times (of 4 attemps)
2. I didn't guessed any side when I had to (including 50-50 ones when he guessed it right)
3. When he failed to guess right side...my serve was gone out (once and only in tiebreak)
4. He made in 70% of times out lob, on the line
SECOND SET
at 1-0, he 2 times made shot on line, specially crucial one was on deuce
at 1-1, and my serve, I served totally 5 times, 3 times he tried to guess side, every time when he did it he guessed right side, and every time when he guessed right side I failed to guess where is he going to make a shot
thats 50:50% chances every time...6 times for him
and point that he won...was that he guessed right were is my smash going to go.
so 7 times in one game he won on 50-50% chances
So I have really really really tiny nerves when it comes to luck or unluck...So i was pissed off amaizingly...so next two games I was just doing stupid things...and he broke me again for 4-1, later 5-1
at 5-2, I started to play better I had 15-40, and on one ball that my player had to just make a normal shot...he punched the ball like I didn't pressed any button...and elena won that point...later that set 6-2
so he won 13 times on 50-50% chances in crucial moments...thats almost like in roulette when ball falls on the same color 13 times in a row
Rank: 2008 (5), 2009 (16), 2010 (6)
Results 2010: Singles (70-27), Doubles (56-19)
Titles 2010: Davis Cup, Valencia (s), Eastbourne (d), Zagreb (d), Paris (d)
Final 2010: 10 (US Open (s), Wimbledon (d), Madrid (d), WTF London (d)...)